It’s hard to say there will be higher, but with Trump the denial rate might be higher, which means there’s will be a higher chance for second round lottery.
Agreed, but the second-round lottery doesn’t change anything. The quota remains around 85,000, so the number of rounds doesn’t affect the overall odds.
My calculation.
For master cap, it would be 30-45%
For non master, it would be 22-35%
If approval rate drops due to higher rejection rate, the selection chance may further enlarge for second and following rounds…