With H-1B lottery odds getting worse each year and the green card process becoming painfully long, is it still realistic to rely on employment-based immigration?
Even if you win the H-1B lottery, the road to a green card is brutal. Right now:
- EB-1A for Chinese nationals has a 3-year backlog.
- EB-2 for Chinese applicants takes 7+ years.
- Even ROW (Rest of World) EB-2 is approaching 3 years.
Will priority dates keep getting worse, or will there be a self-correcting balance? Some factors to consider:
- Declining international student enrollment due to rising difficulties in staying.
- Increasing layoffs, leading to higher PERM denial rates.
- NIW (National Interest Waiver) standards getting stricter.
Is there still hope, or should people start looking at alternative paths (other visas, career changes, or leaving the U.S.)? Would love to hear insights from those who have gone through the process or are planning ahead.